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World has much at stake in nuclear power decision - Brookings Institute and GPPI nuclear conference

At a quiet lakeside retreat house in Potsdam, Germany, 35 people met this month to discuss the future of nuclear power.

Guest blogger and nuclear economics expert Craig Severance was one of the attendees.   He discusses his insights in this repost.

Severance is co-author of “The Economics of Nuclear and Coal Power” (Praeger 1976) and a former Assistant to the Chairman and to Commerce Counsel, Iowa State Commerce Commission.  Last year, Severance did an Exclusive analysis for CP on the staggering cost of new nuclear power.

Among us were representatives from governments, academia, think tanks, the nuclear power and utility industries, and independent writers and researchers.  We came to talk, and not necessarily to agree.  Nevertheless, the discussions were brisk and a wealth of valuable information was shared.  The Brookings Institution and the Global Public Policy Institute with support from the European Commission sponsored the conference, entitled Towards a Nuclear Power Renaissance?  Challenges for Global Energy Governance“. (The insights I share below are my own perspective.  The conference followed rules where each ... read more >>

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All Change – CDM Awaits Much Needed Attention

The body charged with the administrative oversight of the United Nations’ Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) is showing signs that a critical transition in the technical framework may be coming.

The CDM Executive Board (EB); currently the judge, juror and executioner of the Kyoto Protocol’s cornerstone carbon offsetting mechanism, could receive a much needed shake up, and not a minute too soon.

CDM-EB Meeting

Pressure Points

The demands from the mechanism until the end of 2012 are sure to be intense as the UN (and its climate policy body, the UNFCCC) are placed under pressure to deliver on international climate policy.

Providing the framework to extend the life of the CDM beyond 2012 is one of the crucial outcomes required from UNFCCC negotiations.  The lack of any concrete resolutions on this matter from Copenhagen in December did little to allay the vast uncertainty that currently resides in the CDM.

Without the Kyoto framework, which technically ceases to exist from 2013, the CDM is in danger of failing simply because of regulatory and political uncertainties.  In order to survive, the challenges in the next few years need to dealt with ...

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Sen. Lindsey Graham Says Using Reconciliation for Health Care Threatens Climate Bill

lindsey-graham

U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said on Sunday that if Democrats employ the parliamentary procedure known as reconciliation to push the health care bill through, all major legislation currently being considered by the Senate would be threatened, including a climate bill that the Republican Graham has been working with Senate Democrats on passing.

In terms of his relationship with the White House and other Democrats on issues like climate and immigration, Graham both praised and condemned President Obama. Graham said on ABC’s “This Week”:

“I have been working with Lieberman and Kerry. We have come a long way on the climate and energy issue. This is one issue where the President has been great. He is saying all the right things to give us a chance to become energy independent and clean up the air and create jobs.

But when it comes to health care, he has been tone deaf...

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Indexing the nuclear renaissance

The profit potential of the global nuclear industry is closely tracked by several financial services

 

The growth of nuclear energy over the next two-and-half decades will vastly shift energy use from carbon-based to carbon-free uses.  The key elements of this shift include significant change from fossil fuel sources for electricity generation to uranium for nuclear reactors.  It follows there will be greater use of electricity in industrial processing and heating.  Another aspect of the shift in energy use will be to use nuclear energy instead of natural gas for water desalinization.  especially in arid countries or those with high population growth and parallel pollution problems.  The transportation sector, which accounts for much of today's use of oil, will benefit with high speed electrified rail service for people and freight.  The growth of global markets for electric cars will depend more on battery technologies than electricity supply.

 

According to the World Nuclear Association, worldwide nuclear energy is expected to grow in substantially in 10 key countries by 2030. The World Nuclear Association outlook data ... read more >>

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Can behavioral economics help save the planet?

“Consumption is a tricky issue for us, but we need to start talking about it.”

So says Peter Lehner,  executive director of the Natural Resources Defense Council. This is welcome news. Like the other big environmental NGOs, NRDC has shied away from telling people what to eat (less red meat and dairy), what kinds of cars to drive (smaller ones), whether to fly (not too much)  or how many homes to own (one).

Peter Lehner

That may be about to change.

I spoke to Lehner last week after a three-day symposium on Climate, Mind and Behavior, sponsored by NRDC and the Garrison Institute, a nonprofit whose program on “transformational ecology” is led by Jonathan F.P. Rose, a New York real estate developer who also sits on NRDC’s board.  The event was designed explore ways to change behavior on a scale big enough to have a major impact on global GHG emissions.

The stellar group of participants included enviromentalists (Paul Hawken, Van Jones and Gus Speth), investors and business people (Mark Fulton and Bruce Kahn of Deutsche Bank, Jesse Fink of MissionPoint Capital Partners, Jack Jacometti of Shell) and academics (Dr. Benjamin Barber, John Gowdy of RPI, Jon Krosnick of Stanford and ... read more >>

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How to get rid of existing coal?

If you ask Jim Hansen to name the single most important thing required to avert catastrophic climate change, he’ll say this: don’t burn all the coal (nor unconventional fossil fuels, such as tar sands and oil shales). Ideally, we would also prefer to leave some of the oil, and much of the natural gas, in the ground — or at least use it for other purpose that didn’t require combusting it, such as for chemical feedstocks and lubricants. But the latter is, alas, unlikely.

As Described in Storms of Our Grandchildren (and elsewhere), if we accept that all the proven reserves of oil/gas will be burned (i.e., consumed up to the dashed line in the figure above), and yet also required that all coal combustion be phased out by the year 2030, then the level of atmospheric CO2 would likely peak at about 425 ppm. At that point, improved forestry, soil carbon sequestration and potentially geoengineering, could be used to gradually draw CO2 back down to levels of around 350 ppm — a value necessary to restore the Earth’s present energy imbalance of ~0.75 W/m2. In short, we’d have overshoot, but have a decent chance of recovering the climate system to a near-Holocene state before amplifying ...

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A smart meter for your troubles?

Smart Meters are supposed believed to be a less costly alternative to traditional interval or time-of-use meters billing customers by how much is consumed and at what time of day will force consumers to adjust their consumption habits to be more responsive to market prices.  It’s also believed billing customers by how much is consumed and at what time of day will force consumers to adjust their consumption habits to be more responsive to market prices.    Well maybe not.  Smart Meter technology has been touted as a solution to high energy prices, peak demand abatement , and electricity shortage avoidance, but some recent rate disputes involving recipients of the smart meter technology have put the ’savings’ promise into question.

The  Pacific Gas and Electric company (PG & E), a California power utility started installing smart meters in residential homes in 2006 and plans to have installed 10 million by the end of 2010.  But PG&E’s smart meter installations in the Bakersfield area have caused an enormous backlash from customers – a class-action lawsuit has been filed representing thousands that will demand damages from the ... read more >>

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The Impact of the Stimulus Package on Clean Energy Jobs

I’m re-posting a very useful post by Congressman Ed Markey from last week on the impact of the stimulus package on clean energy jobs and industry in America.

The Recovery Act reoriented America to the future and refocused our efforts on our strengths. Our strength has always been our ability to innovate. Our weakness is our addiction to oil.

The tax credits and $90 billion clean energy investment in the Recovery Act has been a launching pad for job growth. This week, my Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming heard from businesses that are on the front lines of the economic turnaround.

In a recent blog post, former Federal Communications Commission Chairman Reed Hundt and I argued that America must follow the blueprint of the 1990’s telecommunications revolution. Our goal must not simply be to create jobs, but to launch entire new industries in efficiency, wind, solar, advanced batteries, and other critical growth sectors. Here are just a few examples of how the clean energy provisions in the Recovery Act are meeting this challenge head-on:

In WEATHERIZATION
The State of Ohio, whose
Director of Department of Development testified today, has ...

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It's Time to Let Virginia Drill

At last Thursday's Summit on Virginia's Energy Future in Richmond, Governor Robert McDonnell delivered a detailed talk on the state's energy opportunities and the bi-partisan commitment of the legislature and Virginia's US Senators and Congressional delegation to capitalize on them, including its offshore oil, gas and wind resources. He also declared his goal of making Virginia the "energy capital of the East Coast." While neither Virginia nor any of its neighbors up and down the coast seems likely to compete with Texas or Louisiana in total energy production, the new Governor's aspiration might be more than just wishful thinking. However, as the business and governmental leaders who spoke at the session made clear, Virginia doesn't control its own destiny in this regard. The Commonwealth's plans for tapping the value of those resources to help close its budget deficit depend on the cooperation of the US Department of the Interior (DOI), which controls the leasing and permitting process for exploration and development on the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS).

Attending the summit provided me with a much better appreciation of my state's energy situation. When we moved our family .. ... read more >>
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Open letter to U.S. government from over 250 U.S. scientists on climate change and the IPCC reports

[If you are a scientist wishing to sign the letter, please fill out the form on the this page.]

It is our intention in offering this open letter to bring the focus back to credible science, rather than invented hyperbole, so that it can bear on the policy debate in the United States and throughout the world.  We first discuss some of the key messages from climate science and then elaborate on IPCC procedures, with particular attention to the quality-control mechanisms of the IPCC.  Finally we offer some suggestions about what might be done next to improve IPCC practices and restore full trust in climate science.

That’s from a letter sent to federal agencies on March 13.  It has been signed by over 250 scientist already (full list here), the vast majority of whom are climate change scientists working at top U.S. universities and institutions.  “Additional signers include professionals from related disciplines, including physical, biological and social scientists.”

Here is the full letter:

An Open Letter from Scientists in the United States on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and Errors Contained in the Fourth Assessment Report: Climate ...

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Exxon Finalizes Agreements For Papua New Guinea LNG Project

Exxon Mobil has said that sales and purchase agreements with liquefied natural gas (LNG) buyers and financing arrangements with lenders are now complete and its affiliate, Esso Highlands, is proceeding with full execution of the Papua New Guinea (PNG) LNG project.

The company said that the integrated development includes gas production and processing facilities in the Southern Highlands and Western Provinces of Papua New Guinea; liquefaction and storage facilities with capacity of 6.6 million tons per year, located northwest of Port Moresby on the Gulf of Papua; and over 450 miles (700km) of pipelines connecting the facilities.

Participating interests include affiliates of ExxonMobil including Esso Highlands as operator (33.2%), Oil Search (29%), Independent Public Business (PNG government, 16.6%), Santos (13.5%), Nippon Oil Exploration (4.7%), Mineral Resources Development (PNG landowners, 2.8%) and Petromin PNG (0.2%).

The investment for the initial phase of the project, excluding shipping costs, is estimated at $15bn. First LNG deliveries are scheduled to begin in 2014, following a construction period of about four years.

Neil Duffin, president of ... read more >>

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BUGS in the Smart Grid

Don’t you just love acronyms?  I do, which is a good thing since I write the Smart Grid Dictionary, which is loaded with them.  Acronyms are shorthand for common phrases, and there are certainly plenty of them in the Smart Grid business.    Imagine my delight when I encountered a new acronym last week – BUGS.  Everyone with a software background immediately thinks of coding errors, but in this case BUGS refers to Backup Generation Sources, and it is used in reference to Distributed Generation or DG for grid support.  

The Smart Grid Dictionary defines distributed generation as “Electric generation that feeds into the distribution grid, rather than the bulk transmission grid, whether on the utility side or customer side of the meter.   It includes customer-owned microturbines, wind-powered generators, hydro units, and PV arrays.  Customers who own generation resources usually want to reduce the amount of power purchased from the local utility or supply their own backup power needs, and this form of DG is sometimes known as on-site DG.   Excess power may be sold back to the utility through net metering.   ... read more >>

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How well have journalists covered climate change?

I was on a pretty thoughtful panel discussion, “The Media, the Scientists and the Planet,” broadcast on TV Ontario.

The other guests on The Agenda with Steve Paikin included Curtis Brainard, who critiques science and environment reporting for the Columbia Journalism Review, Walter Russell Mead, who is Henry A. Kissinger senior fellow with the Council on Foreign Relations, and everybody’s favorite Canadian energy and technology columnist, the Toronto Star’s Tyler Hamilton.

Here is the hour-long video:



The other two guests were Nicola Jones, Science Journalist in Residence at the UBC School of Journalism, who also acts as a commissioning editor for the Opinion section of the Nature Network...

... read more >>
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Chu compares climate disinformation campaign to tobacco industry’s efforts - Energy Sec also says "we will not be economically competitive" if we don't price carbon in a comprehensive clean energy bill

Here is our Nobel prize-winning physicist Energy Secretary, Steven Chu, in a San Jose Mercury News interview:

SJMN:  Are you worried that the political will to enact a national policy or somehow tax or price carbon emissions is gone now? If you look at recent polls, the number of Americans who believe that global warming is real and man-made is declining. The political trends are not in your favor.

Chu:  Americans were believing because of sound bites, and now they’re disbelieving because of sound bites. One can honestly say that if we don’t do this, we will not be economically competitive. Ten and 20 years from now, the price of oil will likely be higher — this is not a stretch of the imagination. The debate for whether smoking causes lung cancer and emphysema was actually in the first decade among scientists, but they muddied the waters for 2½ more decades. Climate change, on a global scale, is a much bigger deal, and people are trying to muddy the waters, particularly people who think they might lose. Unfortunately, it’s easier to propagate fear than seeing a vision of prosperity.

I prefer the phrase, “blow smoke in our face,” extending the tobacco ... read more >>

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The VegaWatt: A $0 BILLION Dollar Waste to Power Invention

Last month I had a phone interview with James Peret, the inventor of the VegaWatt. In the first part of the audio interview we talked about their ideal customers and industry landscape. Currently, the VegaWatt has a little to no competition in the restaurant industry or even in the micro waste to power industry. Any restaurant that makes more then 30 gallons of grease per month is a perfect customer and there are no other current or feasible more profitable ways for them to get rid of their waste.

In this section James discusses why the VegaWatt is a billion dollar opportunity as there are more then 13,000 restaurants in the United States, then you can easily add all the ones in Canada, and Europe to that number and it becomes clear how the VegaWatt is going to be a seriously profitable invention. James is clearly a small, thoughtful, well spoken and amazing inventor. Not only will it be profitable, but it also has a huge environmental and social benefit.

Have fun listening to our discussion!

The $O Billion Dollar Opportunity

In the discussion we talked about:

-Why getting into every McDonalds is not the Vegawatt’s goal ...

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Southern Company, Turner Renewable Acquire Solar PV Project

Southern Company and Turner Renewable Energy have acquired a 30MW solar photovoltaic (PV) power plant from First Solar, an Arizona-based manufacturer of thin film solar modules.

The solar project is said to be the first to result from the partnership forged by Southern Company and Turner Renewable Energy in January and will supply power to approximately 9,000 homes.

David Ratcliffe, chairman, president and CEO of Southern Company, said: "Expanding the role renewables play in our energy mix is a priority for Southern Company. Renewables, along with new nuclear, increased energy efficiency, cleaner coal technology and additional natural gas, all will be crucial to meeting this nation's growing energy demand."

Ted Turner, founder of Turner Renewable Energy, said: "It is great that large-scale solar photovoltaic power generation is becoming a reality in the US. Southern Turner Renewable Energy is excited to develop and own this project and we look forward to generating clean renewable energy in New Mexico."

The Southern Turner Cimarron I solar project is adjacent to Turner's Vermejo Park Ranch in northern New Mexico. First Solar is the contractor for both ... read more >>

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