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regional conflict

Syria Diplomacy and Oil: Geopolitics May Change Oil Outlook Dramatically Again

August 19, 2015 by Amy Myers Jaffe
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As the U.S. Congress gears up to debate the merits of the nuclear deal signed between Iran and the P5+1 powers last July, the Obama Administration is working overtime to get Mideast diplomacy off the ground to prove that the politically controversial deal is paying the way for a better Middle East.[read more]

ISIS Victories and Oil

May 26, 2015 by Amy Myers Jaffe

Right now, oil prices seem under pressure from any number of forces: Saudi market share strategies, Iran’s quiet sales from floating stocks, historically high U.S. and Chinese inventory levels. But over the longer term, the situation on the ground with ISIS could render some of that surplus necessary.[read more]

'Geo-Defragmentation' as a Means of Reestablishing Order within the International System

March 11, 2015 by Roman Kilisek

Geo-Defragmentation and Order

Globalization rose in the Post-Cold War era bringing certain regions closer together via global supply chains and a developmental agenda took precedence over pure geopolitical considerations in many countries as a result of the upheaval.[read more]

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Growing Middle East Threats to U.S. Energy Security

October 1, 2014 by John Miller
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Middle East Conflict and Energy Security

The recent undeclared war on ISIS is in response to increasing terrorist threats against the U.S. Besides increased air strikes and developing a new Coalition against Middle East terrorists, should the Obama Administration also address the increasing risks to U.S. energy security?[read more]

Energy Quote of the Day: 'We are Still Assessing the Outcome of the Attack on the Refineries'

October 1, 2014 by Jared Anderson

Conflict, Funding Sources, and Oil

The US military partnered with Saudi Arabia and the UAE on air strikes that bombed 12 “teapot” refineries in eastern Syria reportedly used as part of ISIS’ underground oil operations. These small modular refineries are major sources of funding for the extremists.[read more]

The Spoils of War: US Diplomacy Must Focus on Conflict Resolution Over Oil Revenues

September 25, 2014 by Amy Myers Jaffe

Militias across the Middle East have learned they can undermine the authority of existing political leadership in the region by overtaking oil facilities. In Libya, what might have been a successful transitioning government fell into disarray when rebels grabbed and turned off key oil installations.[read more]

The US Humanitarian Intervention in Iraq: The Oil and Water Angle

August 15, 2014 by Amy Myers Jaffe

The success of stated limited U.S. humanitarian goals for the latest intervention in Iraq could hinge on more than the fate of minorities trapped on top of the Mount Sinjar. That is because the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) has taken control of critical water and oil infrastructure including the Mosul Dam.[read more]

Energy Quote of the Day: "The Fog of War Will not Clear for a Long Time," Oil Price Impact?

August 2, 2014 by Jared Anderson

Geopolitics and Energy

Geopolitical turmoil and security threats in major producing regions are never good for oil market stability, and while global benchmark oil prices have been cruising through an historic range-bound lack of volatility for an extended period, geopolitical headwinds show no sign of abating.[read more]

ISIS Threatens Iraq's Oil Upside

July 10, 2014 by Geoffrey Styles
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ISIS and Iraq Oil Threat

Last month's blitzkrieg advance of Al Qaeda spinoff ISIS in northwestern Iraq rattled global oil markets and politicians. Yet even as the rebel offensive appears to stall, the escalation of risk in Iraq and its neighbors could affect geopolitics, oil supplies and fuel prices for the rest of the decade.[read more]

Energy Quote of the Day: 'The Flood May Just be a Trickle'

June 25, 2014 by Jared Anderson

Iraq Chaos and Oil Markets

As the situation in Iraq continues to develop, oil market bulls and bears are currently battling over the degree to which the worst sectarian violence since United States troop withdrawal will exert upward price pressure and lead to other market changes and risks.[read more]